Nr. 180, Dezember 2014
1) Risk Assessment Tools are not reliable
The use of risk assessment tools may overestimate sex offenders’ likelihood of committing another crime. “Actuarial” risk assessments are designed to let state criminal justice systems evaluate risk as car insurance companies do. A list of factors that correlate with recidivism is used to group offenders into categories. But these instruments often look only at historical, or “static,” factors in an offender’s background. Source: Steven Yoder: The Promise (and Perils) of Predicting Sex Crimes. In: The Crime report, Sept. 11, 2014